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Tamaraceite vs San Miguel

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Sanchez S.

AI Match Summary

Tamaraceite in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tamaraceite.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Tamaraceite
20%
Draws
63%
San Miguel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • San Miguel haven't matched Tamaraceite's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tamaraceite here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 20%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamaraceite San Miguel
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs San Miguel
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Tamaraceite
0:2
Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs San Miguel
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Tamaraceite
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamaraceite Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

San Miguel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamaraceite 36 / 100
San Miguel 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamaraceite San Miguel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Miguel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamaraceite found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

San Miguel let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tamaraceite went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamaraceite VS San Miguel
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamaraceite

(Home)
20 Sept
Tamaraceite
1 : 3
Recreativo Huelva
13 Sept
Sanluqueno
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1
Sevilla B
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
04 Aug
Tenerife
3 : 2
Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 6

San Miguel

(Away)
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1
Panaderia
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3
San Miguel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)