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Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Vaino M.
18' Event
Pereira dos Santos K.
68' Event
Kutsar K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tammeka Tartu U21
15%
Draws
46%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tammeka Tartu U21 lately — more wins on the board than Parnu JK Vaprus U21.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Parnu JK Vaprus U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Tammeka Tartu U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu U21 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.41 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2:2
Jun 1, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
3:2
May 3, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tammeka Tartu U21
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaino M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira dos Santos K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutsar K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rand K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu U21 14 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu U21 Parnu JK Vaprus U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tammeka Tartu U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tammeka Tartu U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu U21 VS Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1.63 Goals Scored 4.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu U21

(Home)
11 Oct
Tabasalu
1 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
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Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Away)
11 Oct
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 31 21 3 7 72:36 66
2 Levadia U19 32 20 2 10 80:52 62
3 Johvi Phoenix 31 17 3 11 71:69 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 31 16 4 11 76:61 52
5 Tulevik 32 15 5 12 83:65 50
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 31 14 5 12 96:63 47
7 Tartu Kalev 31 15 2 14 72:60 47
8 Tabasalu 31 10 3 18 45:83 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 32 8 6 18 64:79 30
10 Legion 32 3 3 26 27:118 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)