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Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tartu Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu U21 host Tartu Kalev in the Esiliiga B. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Tammeka Tartu U21 at 2.62 goals for, 1.93 against; Tartu Kalev at 2.47 for, 2.13 against. Past meetings favor Tammeka Tartu U21 slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.56, favoring Tammeka Tartu U21. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tammeka Tartu U21
15%
Draws
34%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tammeka Tartu U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tammeka Tartu U21's 2.62 goals per match outpaces what Tartu Kalev have produced (2.47).
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Tammeka Tartu U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tammeka Tartu U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu U21 Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.62 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21
2:1
May 16, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tartu Kalev
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21
1:4
Jul 20, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tartu Kalev
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu U21 84 / 100
Tartu Kalev 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu U21 Tartu Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tammeka Tartu U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tammeka Tartu U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Tartu Kalev let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Tammeka Tartu U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu U21 VS Tartu Kalev
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu U21

(Home)
19 Oct
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 : 0
Legion
15 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Oct
Tabasalu
1 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
Page 1 of 6

Tartu Kalev

(Away)
18 Oct
Tartu Kalev
4 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
15 Oct
Narva U21
2 : 0
Tartu Kalev
10 Oct
Tartu Kalev
0 : 2
Levadia U19
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 33 22 4 7 74:36 70
2 Levadia U19 33 21 2 10 83:53 65
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 33 18 4 11 90:62 58
4 Johvi Phoenix 33 17 3 13 72:76 54
5 Tulevik 33 16 5 12 86:67 53
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 33 15 5 13 100:67 50
7 Tartu Kalev 33 16 2 15 76:62 50
8 Tabasalu 33 10 4 19 46:85 34
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 33 8 6 19 65:82 30
10 Legion 33 3 3 27 27:129 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)