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Tammeka Tartu vs Kalju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Tamme Stadium, Tartu
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Baptista T.
Assist: Ivanov N.
10'
Podholjuzin M.
18'
Andreev N.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Tammeka Tartu and Kalju finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tammeka Tartu
15%
Draws
34%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tammeka Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Kalju haven't matched Tammeka Tartu's recent run of results.
  • Kalju are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kalju here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 15%
Kalju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu Kalju
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.04 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Kalju
1:3
Aug 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Tammeka Tartu
5:1
Jun 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Tammeka Tartu
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Kalju
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Tammeka Tartu
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Baptista T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mannilaan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu 23 / 100
Kalju 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu Kalju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Tammeka Tartu's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kalju has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Tammeka Tartu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu VS Kalju
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu

(Home)
10 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
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Kalju

(Away)
10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 30 15 5 10 52:28 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 30 15 2 13 41:47 47
6 Harju JK Laagri 30 12 2 16 41:47 38
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 30 10 5 15 41:59 35
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 30 9 1 20 47:72 28
10 Narva 30 5 5 20 24:67 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)