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Tammeka Tartu vs Kuressaare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Tamme Stadium, Tartu
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sambe M.
Assist: Pereira dos Santos K.
45'
Pedmanson H.
57'
Sub
Visse A. In: Kivi A.
Out: Visse A.

AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tammeka Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tammeka Tartu
15%
Draws
37%
Kuressaare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tammeka Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tammeka Tartu have won more games recently than Kuressaare.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 12%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu Kuressaare
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.1 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Tammeka Tartu
1:3
Aug 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Kuressaare
1:0
May 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Kuressaare
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Tammeka Tartu
3:2
Sep 26, 2025 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Kuressaare
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kuressaare Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu 35 / 100
Kuressaare 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu Kuressaare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kuressaare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tammeka Tartu's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kuressaare has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Tammeka Tartu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu VS Kuressaare
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu

(Home)
10 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
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Kuressaare

(Away)
11 Oct
Kuressaare
2 : 0
Flora
03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2
Saku Sporting
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 30 15 5 10 52:28 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 30 15 2 13 41:47 47
6 Harju JK Laagri 30 12 2 16 41:47 38
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 30 10 5 15 41:59 35
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 30 9 1 20 47:72 28
10 Narva 30 5 5 20 24:67 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)