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Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Tamme Stadium, Tartu
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu host Nomme Utd in the Meistriliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Tammeka Tartu have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Nomme Utd's 1.9 scored and 2.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Tammeka Tartu slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.13) point toward Tammeka Tartu. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tammeka Tartu
15%
Draws
42%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tammeka Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tammeka Tartu lately — more wins on the board than Nomme Utd.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tammeka Tartu have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 20%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu Nomme Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu
0:1
May 15, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme Utd
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu
2:3
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu
0:6
Nov 9, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu 36 / 100
Nomme Utd 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu Nomme Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Tammeka Tartu's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Nomme Utd registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu VS Nomme Utd
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu

(Home)
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
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Nomme Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)