Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme Utd

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Tamme Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Hydara M.
Assist: Kallas R.
30' Event
Palts M.
Assist: Oostenbrink K.
42'
Kangaslahti O.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Tammeka Tartu and Nomme Utd finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tammeka Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tammeka Tartu
40%
Draws
29%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nomme Utd's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Tammeka Tartu have produced (1.25).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tammeka Tartu have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 17%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu Nomme Utd
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme Utd
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu
2:3
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu
0:6
Nov 9, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu
1:2
Aug 11, 2024 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme Utd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Hydara M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veelma P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Palts M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu 31 / 100
Nomme Utd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu Nomme Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nomme Utd conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tammeka Tartu scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Tammeka Tartu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu VS Nomme Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju19104533:1634
4Paide Linnameeskond1995530:2332
5Parnu JK Vaprus20821028:3826
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri19711125:3222
9Kuressaare19521219:3317
10Narva20411515:4713