Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tampa Bay Sun W vs Dallas Trinity W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women Riverfront Stadium, Tampa, FL
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tampa Bay Sun W host Dallas Trinity W in the USL Super League Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dallas Trinity W have shipped 1.35 goals a game lately, while Tampa Bay Sun W have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Tampa Bay Sun W slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.63, favoring Dallas Trinity W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tampa Bay Sun W
30%
Draws
47%
Dallas Trinity W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dallas Trinity W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dallas Trinity W come out ahead of Tampa Bay Sun W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tampa Bay Sun W Clean Sheet 14%
Dallas Trinity W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Sun W Dallas Trinity W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1:1
May 9, 2026 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Dallas Trinity W
0:2
Apr 1, 2026 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Dallas Trinity W
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Dallas Trinity W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay Sun W 35 / 100
Dallas Trinity W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Sun W Dallas Trinity W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dallas Trinity W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay Sun W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Dallas Trinity W let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Tampa Bay Sun W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay Sun W VS Dallas Trinity W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay Sun W

(Home)
17 Oct
Lexington W
2 : 1
Tampa Bay Sun W
10 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 3
Carolina Ascent W
04 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 1
Lexington W
18 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Tampa Bay Sun W
12 Sept
Tampa Bay Sun W
2 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United W
Page 1 of 6

Dallas Trinity W

(Away)
17 Oct
Dallas Trinity W
3 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
10 Oct
Brooklyn W
1 : 1
Dallas Trinity W
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
18 Sept
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 2
Dallas Trinity W
13 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
2 : 1
DC Power W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
2 Sporting Jax W 8 4 2 2 16:11 14
3 Lexington W 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Dallas Trinity W 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
5 DC Power W 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 8 2 3 3 10:13 9
7 Brooklyn W 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 9 2 0 7 7:16 6
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)