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Tampa Bay Sun W vs DC Power W

USA USA

USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Riverfront Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Tampa Bay Sun W play DC Power W in the USL Super League Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tampa Bay Sun W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. DC Power W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Tampa Bay Sun W won 3, DC Power W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Tampa Bay Sun W and 1.56 for DC Power W. This points to a Tampa Bay Sun W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Tampa Bay Sun W
28%
Draws
34%
DC Power W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tampa Bay Sun W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tampa Bay Sun W picked up more points recently compared to DC Power W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Tampa Bay Sun W Clean Sheet 15%
DC Power W Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Sun W DC Power W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs DC Power W
0:2
Mar 26, 2026 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs DC Power W
1:1
May 24, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs DC Power W
2:0
Apr 18, 2025 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Sun W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fusco J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

DC Power W Compare

Top Goalscorer Constant C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay Sun W 37 / 100
DC Power W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Sun W DC Power W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tampa Bay Sun W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tampa Bay Sun W attacking → ← attacking DC Power W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay Sun W scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

DC Power W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Tampa Bay Sun W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

DC Power W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 34
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lexington W281411350:2453
2Sporting Jax W28165754:3253
3Carolina Ascent W28156739:2751
4Dallas Trinity W281171036:4040
5Spokane Zephyr W28109934:2839
6DC Power W28891134:3233
7Brooklyn W28681431:4426
8Tampa Bay Sun W28591427:4624
9Fort Lauderdale United W28581530:6223