Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tampa Bay U23 vs Sarasota Paradise

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tampa Bay U23 play Sarasota Paradise in the USL League Two 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tampa Bay U23 averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Sarasota Paradise averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Tampa Bay U23 won 0, Sarasota Paradise won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 3, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Tampa Bay U23 and 0.93 for Sarasota Paradise. This points to a Sarasota Paradise double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tampa Bay U23
35%
Draws
38%
Sarasota Paradise
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sarasota Paradise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Tampa Bay U23 picked up more points recently compared to Sarasota Paradise.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Tampa Bay U23 Clean Sheet 24%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay U23 Sarasota Paradise
Matches Played 27 47
Wins 7 21
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.33 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.32

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2024 USL League Two
Sarasota Paradise vs Tampa Bay U23
1:1
Jun 12, 2024 USL League Two
Sarasota Paradise vs Tampa Bay U23
4:4
May 29, 2024 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs Sarasota Paradise
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay U23 29 / 100
Sarasota Paradise 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay U23 Sarasota Paradise

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sarasota Paradise or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tampa Bay U23 attacking → ← attacking Sarasota Paradise

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay U23 scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Sarasota Paradise let in goals in 64% of their last 47 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tampa Bay U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sarasota Paradise lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 72
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00