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Tampa Bay U23 vs St. Petersburg FC

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
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Match Events

80'

AI Match Summary

St. Petersburg FC in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Petersburg FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Tampa Bay U23
11%
Draws
80%
St. Petersburg FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: St. Petersburg FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Petersburg FC have won more games recently than Tampa Bay U23.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on St. Petersburg FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tampa Bay U23 Clean Sheet 11%
St. Petersburg FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay U23 St. Petersburg FC
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2024 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs St. Petersburg FC
1:3
Jun 22, 2024 USL League Two
St. Petersburg FC vs Tampa Bay U23
1:1
May 21, 2024 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs St. Petersburg FC
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay U23 10 / 100
St. Petersburg FC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay U23 St. Petersburg FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Petersburg FC let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Tampa Bay U23 scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Tampa Bay U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay U23 VS St. Petersburg FC
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay U23

(Home)
10 Jul
Tampa Bay U23
1 : 3
St. Petersburg FC
03 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1
Tampa Bay U23
29 Jun
Tampa Bay U23
3 : 2
Miami AC
26 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Tampa Bay U23
22 Jun
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 1
Tampa Bay U23
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St. Petersburg FC

(Away)
12 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
3 : 1
Weston
08 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 2
Fort Lauderdale United
02 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
28 Jun
St. Petersburg FC
5 : 0
Miami City
21 Jun
Miami AC
1 : 3
St. Petersburg FC
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