Sport Picks

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Tampa Bay U23 vs Swan City

USA USA

USL League Two 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tampa Bay U23 in this USL League Two 2023 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tampa Bay U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tampa Bay U23
6%
Draws
4%
Swan City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tampa Bay U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Swan City haven't matched Tampa Bay U23's recent run of results.
  • Tampa Bay U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tampa Bay U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tampa Bay U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Swan City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay U23 Swan City
Matches Played 27 24
Wins 7 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2024 USL League Two
Swan City vs Tampa Bay U23
1:2
Jun 16, 2024 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs Swan City
1:0
Jul 5, 2023 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs Swan City
6:1
Jun 7, 2023 USL League Two
Swan City vs Tampa Bay U23
2:2
May 24, 2023 USL League Two
Swan City vs Tampa Bay U23
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay U23 85 / 100
Swan City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay U23 Swan City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tampa Bay U23 scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Swan City has conceded goals in 79% of their last 24 outings.

Tampa Bay U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay U23 VS Swan City
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay U23

(Home)
10 Jul
Tampa Bay U23
1 : 3
St. Petersburg FC
03 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1
Tampa Bay U23
29 Jun
Tampa Bay U23
3 : 2
Miami AC
26 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Tampa Bay U23
22 Jun
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 1
Tampa Bay U23
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Swan City

(Away)
30 Jun
Swan City
1 : 0
Weston
26 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Tampa Bay U23
23 Jun
Swan City
0 : 3
Miami AC
19 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Miami AC
16 Jun
Tampa Bay U23
1 : 0
Swan City
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