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Tampa Bay U23 vs Swan City

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

Tampa Bay U23 play Swan City in the USL League Two 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tampa Bay U23 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Swan City averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Tampa Bay U23 won 4, Swan City won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 26, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Tampa Bay U23 and 1.19 for Swan City. This points to a Tampa Bay U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tampa Bay U23
6%
Draws
4%
Swan City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tampa Bay U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tampa Bay U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Swan City.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tampa Bay U23.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League Two 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tampa Bay U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Swan City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay U23 Swan City
Matches Played 27 24
Wins 7 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2024 USL League Two
Swan City vs Tampa Bay U23
1:2
Jun 16, 2024 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs Swan City
1:0
Jul 5, 2023 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs Swan City
6:1
Jun 7, 2023 USL League Two
Swan City vs Tampa Bay U23
2:2
May 24, 2023 USL League Two
Swan City vs Tampa Bay U23
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay U23 85 / 100
Swan City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay U23 Swan City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay U23 scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Swan City let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tampa Bay U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Swan City lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay U23 VS Swan City
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%