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Tampa Bay vs Brooklyn FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg, FL
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Match Events

24' Event
Perez L.
Assist: Ostrem C.
40'
Perez L.
45'
Bartlow E.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Tampa Bay and Brooklyn FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tampa Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tampa Bay
20%
Draws
10%
Brooklyn FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tampa Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tampa Bay come out ahead of Brooklyn FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tampa Bay's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Brooklyn FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Brooklyn FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.76 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Brooklyn FC
2:0
Jun 20, 2026 USL Championship
Brooklyn FC vs Tampa Bay
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Conway E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Brooklyn FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay 85 / 100
Brooklyn FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Brooklyn FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tampa Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tampa Bay scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Brooklyn FC has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tampa Bay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay VS Brooklyn FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay

(Home)
10 Oct
Indy Eleven
1 : 3
Tampa Bay
03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2
Miami FC
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0
Birmingham Legion
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1
Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6

Brooklyn FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3
Rhode Island
30 Sept
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3
Detroit City
23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0
Brooklyn FC
19 Sept
Brooklyn FC
2 : 2
FC Tulsa
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0
Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 28 16 7 5 49:26 55
2 Detroit City 28 14 8 6 34:20 50
3 Charleston 27 14 4 9 52:33 46
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 12 5 11 30:28 41
5 Louisville City 27 11 7 9 45:42 40
6 Hartford Athletic 27 9 12 6 30:28 39
7 Rhode Island 27 11 5 11 39:30 38
8 Miami FC 29 9 9 11 38:47 36
9 Indy Eleven 28 9 7 12 34:36 34
10 Loudoun United 27 5 12 10 34:44 27
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
4 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)