Sport Picks
Tampa Bay vs Hartford Athletic
USA
USL Championship Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg, FL 
Match Events
20'
20'
Anderson S.
30'
30'
Myers M.
46'
46'
Sub
Perez L. In: Schneider M.
Out: Perez L.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Tampa Bay and Hartford Athletic finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartford Athletic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tampa Bay come out ahead of Hartford Athletic on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tampa Bay | Hartford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 13, 2026 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Hartford Athletic
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Hartford Athletic
3:2
Jul 16, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Hartford Athletic
2:2
Jun 21, 2024 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tampa Bay Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Hartford Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Anderson S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tampa Bay 31 / 100
Hartford Athletic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tampa Bay Hartford Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tampa Bay scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Hartford Athletic let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Tampa Bay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tampa Bay VS Hartford Athletic
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tampa Bay
(Home) 18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 FC Naples
04 Jul
Tampa Bay
1 : 4 Lexington
20 Jun
Brooklyn FC
0 : 2 Tampa Bay
13 Jun
Tampa Bay
0 : 1 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 FC Naples
04 Jul
Tampa Bay
1 : 4 Lexington
13 Jun
Tampa Bay
0 : 1 Hartford Athletic
10 Jun
Tampa Bay
2 : 2 Charleston
23 May
Tampa Bay
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 4
Hartford Athletic
(Away) 18 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
11 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1 Westchester SC
08 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Orange County SC
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
20 Jun
Hartford Athletic
0 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
13 Jun
Tampa Bay
0 : 1 Hartford Athletic
06 Jun
New York Cosmos
1 : 4 Hartford Athletic
23 May
FC Tulsa
2 : 0 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Charleston | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31:22 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:18 | 23 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:24 | 21 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | 13 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 18:29 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23:44 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21:19 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Paso Locomotive | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 19 |
| 10 | Lexington | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:26 | 18 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)