Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Tampa Bay play Lexington in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tampa Bay averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Lexington averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Tampa Bay won 0, Lexington won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Tampa Bay and 1.38 for Lexington. This points to a Tampa Bay double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tampa Bay picked up more points recently compared to Lexington.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.38 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tampa Bay | Lexington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 19 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tampa Bay Compare
Lexington Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tampa Bay scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
Lexington let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Tampa Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Lexington lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12:13 | 19 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:24 | 18 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17:28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19:41 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | El Paso Locomotive | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:24 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Lexington | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | 15 |