Sport Picks
Tampa Bay vs Rhode Island Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL Championship Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg, FL 
Match Events
45'
45'
Bacharach Capdevila H.
53'
53'
Conway E.
55'
55'
Sub
Hilton L. In: Schneider M.
Out: Hilton L.
AI Match Summary
Tampa Bay in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tampa Bay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tampa Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tampa Bay lately — more wins on the board than Rhode Island.
- Model gives Tampa Bay a 37% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tampa Bay | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Rhode Island
2:0
May 9, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay
5:0
May 17, 2025 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Rhode Island
0:3
Oct 5, 2024 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tampa Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Antley C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Rhode Island Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tampa Bay 49 / 100
Rhode Island 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tampa Bay Rhode Island
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tampa Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tampa Bay scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Rhode Island's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Tampa Bay stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tampa Bay VS Rhode Island
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tampa Bay
(Home) 27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
05 Sept
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Brooklyn FC
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
05 Sept
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Brooklyn FC
15 Aug
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Rhode Island
12 Aug
Tampa Bay
0 : 1 Louisville City
02 Aug
Tampa Bay
5 : 4 Louisville City
Page 1 of 3
Rhode Island
(Away) 30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
15 Aug
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Rhode Island
02 Aug
Birmingham Legion
1 : 0 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 45:23 | 52 |
| 2 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32:20 | 44 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:32 | 33 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:44 | 33 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 31:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26:52 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 45:32 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 39:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 36:24 | 43 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 31:24 | 41 |
| 5 | Lexington | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 46:32 | 40 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 40:37 | 39 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 35:40 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29:28 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:38 | 33 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 35:38 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:46 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
