Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tamponnaise vs Marsouins Prediction & H2H Stats

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tamponnaise in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tamponnaise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tamponnaise
20%
Draws
10%
Marsouins
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tamponnaise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamponnaise lately — more wins on the board than Marsouins.
  • Tamponnaise are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tamponnaise here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Tamponnaise Clean Sheet 20%
Marsouins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamponnaise Marsouins
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.67 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Marsouins
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Tamponnaise
0:1
Jul 14, 2022 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Tamponnaise
0:1
Apr 10, 2022 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Marsouins
4:1
Nov 29, 2020 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Tamponnaise
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamponnaise 85 / 100
Marsouins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamponnaise Marsouins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamponnaise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamponnaise found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Marsouins has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tamponnaise stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamponnaise VS Marsouins
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamponnaise

(Home)
23 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 6
Tamponnaise
09 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 0
Saint-Pierroise
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
18 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 1
Tamponnaise
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
Page 1 of 6

Marsouins

(Away)
21 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
4 : 0
Marsouins
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Dominicaine
3 : 0
Marsouins
19 Oct
Marsouins
1 : 1
Saint Louis
12 Oct
Piton Saint-Leu
2 : 0
Marsouins
Page 1 of 6