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Tamponnaise vs Sainte-Marienne

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tamponnaise in this Regionale 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tamponnaise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tamponnaise
15%
Draws
0%
Sainte-Marienne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tamponnaise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sainte-Marienne haven't matched Tamponnaise's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Tamponnaise taking it.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tamponnaise have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tamponnaise Clean Sheet 20%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamponnaise Sainte-Marienne
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.88 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.84 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2023 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Sainte-Marienne
6:1
Mar 19, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Tamponnaise
0:4
Aug 28, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Tamponnaise
1:1
May 8, 2022 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Sainte-Marienne
3:0
Oct 31, 2021 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Sainte-Marienne
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamponnaise 85 / 100
Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamponnaise Sainte-Marienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamponnaise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Sainte-Marienne lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Tamponnaise's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Sainte-Marienne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tamponnaise VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamponnaise

(Home)
23 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 6
Tamponnaise
09 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 0
Saint-Pierroise
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
18 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 1
Tamponnaise
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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Sainte-Marienne

(Away)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
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