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Tamponnaise vs Trois Bassins

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Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tamponnaise play Trois Bassins in the Regionale 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tamponnaise averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Trois Bassins averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Tamponnaise won 3, Trois Bassins won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 21, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Tamponnaise and 0.75 for Trois Bassins. This points to a Tamponnaise double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tamponnaise
19%
Draws
32%
Trois Bassins
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Tamponnaise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Tamponnaise picked up more points recently compared to Trois Bassins.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Tamponnaise Clean Sheet 27%
Trois Bassins Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamponnaise Trois Bassins
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Trois Bassins
1:0
May 18, 2025 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Tamponnaise
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Tamponnaise
0:1
Jun 16, 2024 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Trois Bassins
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Trois Bassins
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamponnaise 50 / 100
Trois Bassins 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamponnaise Trois Bassins

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tamponnaise or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tamponnaise attacking → ← attacking Trois Bassins

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamponnaise scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Trois Bassins let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Tamponnaise went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Trois Bassins lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 35
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13