Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Donnelly K.
Assist: Kurtaran T.
24'
24'
Sub
Mayor D. In: Broad H.
Out: Mayor D.
30'
30'
Ormerod D.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Tamworth and AFC Fylde finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Fylde.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Fylde
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AFC Fylde come out ahead of Tamworth on wins alone.
- Win probability leans AFC Fylde's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tamworth | AFC Fylde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League
Tamworth vs AFC Fylde
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 National League
Tamworth vs AFC Fylde
4:3
Sep 24, 2024 National League
AFC Fylde vs Tamworth
1:2
Feb 25, 2017 National League North
AFC Fylde vs Tamworth
3:1
Oct 29, 2016 National League North
Tamworth vs AFC Fylde
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tamworth Compare
Top Goalscorer Donnelly K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
AFC Fylde Compare
Top Goalscorer Ormerod D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Main C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tamworth 10 / 100
AFC Fylde 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tamworth AFC Fylde
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AFC Fylde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tamworth found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
AFC Fylde let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Tamworth has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tamworth VS AFC Fylde
2 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tamworth
(Home) 19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2 Boston United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2 Boston United
28 Aug
Tamworth
3 : 2 Worthing FC
18 Aug
Tamworth
5 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 3
AFC Fylde
(Away) 19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2 Altrincham
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4 AFC Fylde
05 Sept
AFC Fylde
2 : 2 Worthing FC
31 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3 AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4 AFC Fylde
31 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3 AFC Fylde
22 Aug
Woking
3 : 2 AFC Fylde
15 Aug
Tamworth
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Worthing FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Halifax | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
