Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Donnelly K.
Assist: Kurtaran T.
24'
24'
Sub
Mayor D. In: Broad H.
Out: Mayor D.
30'
30'
Ormerod D.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Tamworth and AFC Fylde finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Fylde.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Fylde
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AFC Fylde come out ahead of Tamworth on wins alone.
- Win probability leans AFC Fylde's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 16%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tamworth | AFC Fylde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League
Tamworth vs AFC Fylde
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 National League
Tamworth vs AFC Fylde
4:3
Sep 24, 2024 National League
AFC Fylde vs Tamworth
1:2
Feb 25, 2017 National League North
AFC Fylde vs Tamworth
3:1
Oct 29, 2016 National League North
Tamworth vs AFC Fylde
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tamworth Compare
Top Goalscorer Donnelly K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
AFC Fylde Compare
Top Goalscorer Ormerod D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Main C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tamworth 28 / 100
AFC Fylde 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tamworth AFC Fylde
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AFC Fylde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tamworth found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
AFC Fylde has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Tamworth has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tamworth VS AFC Fylde
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tamworth
(Home) 03 Nov
Tamworth
2 : 3 Everton U21
31 Oct
Tamworth
0 : 1 Woking
27 Oct
Tamworth
4 : 1 Scunthorpe
17 Oct
Carlisle
2 : 1 Tamworth
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2 Barrow
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Tamworth
2 : 3 Everton U21
31 Oct
Tamworth
0 : 1 Woking
27 Oct
Tamworth
4 : 1 Scunthorpe
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2 Barrow
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 4
AFC Fylde
(Away) 30 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hornchurch
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hartlepool
24 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 0 AFC Fylde
17 Oct
AFC Fylde
5 : 0 Atherton Collieries
10 Oct
AFC Fylde
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 0 AFC Fylde
03 Oct
Southend
3 : 1 AFC Fylde
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1 AFC Fylde
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4 AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
