Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Mols S.
Assist: Fairlamb L.
22'
22'
Walker L.
Assist: Dibley-Dias M.
29'
29'
Creaney D.
AI Match Summary
The National League 2025/2026 game between Tamworth and Braintree finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tamworth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Braintree
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tamworth come out ahead of Braintree on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Braintree taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Tamworth have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 12%
Braintree Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tamworth | Braintree |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 National League
Tamworth vs Braintree
5:1
Sep 2, 2025 National League
Braintree vs Tamworth
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 National League
Tamworth vs Braintree
4:2
Sep 21, 2024 National League
Braintree vs Tamworth
0:1
Dec 28, 2013 National League
Braintree vs Tamworth
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tamworth Compare
Top Goalscorer Mols S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Creaney D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Braintree Compare
Top Goalscorer Walker L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tamworth 22 / 100
Braintree 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tamworth Braintree
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tamworth scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Braintree conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Tamworth remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tamworth VS Braintree
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Tamworth
(Home) 28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1 Macclesfield
25 Jul
Halesowen
2 : 2 Tamworth
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
18 Jul
Tamworth
3 : 1 Stoke City U21
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0 Tamworth
Page 1 of 7
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1 Macclesfield
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
18 Jul
Tamworth
3 : 1 Stoke City U21
11 Jul
Tamworth
2 : 1 Walton & Hersham
25 Apr
Tamworth
5 : 1 Braintree
Page 1 of 4
Braintree
(Away) 28 Jul
Felixstowe & Walton
2 : 1 Braintree
25 Jul
Braintree
4 : 0 Colchester U21
21 Jul
Braintree
1 : 0 Woking
18 Jul
Aveley
3 : 2 Braintree
14 Jul
Welling
3 : 2 Braintree
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Felixstowe & Walton
2 : 1 Braintree
18 Jul
Aveley
3 : 2 Braintree
14 Jul
Welling
3 : 2 Braintree
11 Jul
Brightlingsea
2 : 2 Braintree
25 Apr
Tamworth
5 : 1 Braintree
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
