Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Dyson O.
46'
46'
Sub
Howson J. In: White L.
Out: Howson J.
56'
56'
Sub
Enahoro L. In: Matykiewicz L.
Out: Enahoro L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leeds U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tamworth carry the better recent record into this one.
- 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Tamworth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tamworth, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 12%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tamworth | Leeds U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 2.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Leeds U21
1:0
Jan 21, 2025 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Leeds U21
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tamworth Compare
Top Goalscorer Dyson O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Leeds U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tamworth 30 / 100
Leeds U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tamworth Leeds U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leeds U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tamworth's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Leeds U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Leeds U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Tamworth VS Leeds U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Tamworth
(Home) 03 Nov
Tamworth
2 : 3 Everton U21
31 Oct
Tamworth
0 : 1 Woking
27 Oct
Tamworth
4 : 1 Scunthorpe
17 Oct
Carlisle
2 : 1 Tamworth
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2 Barrow
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Tamworth
2 : 3 Everton U21
31 Oct
Tamworth
0 : 1 Woking
27 Oct
Tamworth
4 : 1 Scunthorpe
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2 Barrow
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 4
Leeds U21
(Away) 03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1 Leeds U21
31 Oct
Leeds U21
2 : 2 Stoke City U21
18 Oct
Leeds U21
1 : 4 Crystal Palace U21
13 Oct
Oldham
4 : 2 Leeds U21
09 Oct
Leeds U21
3 : 1 Stockport U21
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1 Leeds U21
13 Oct
Oldham
4 : 2 Leeds U21
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0 Leeds U21
22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4 Leeds U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 9 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 7 | Derby U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:17 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Hornchurch | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Braintree | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Norwich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:13 | 4 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Everton U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Tamworth | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Sutton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Birmingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 7 | Boston United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 3 |
| 8 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
