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Tamworth vs Middlesbrough U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup The Lamb Ground, Tamworth
Tamworth Logo

Tamworth

1 - 3
FT
Middlesbrough U21 Logo

Middlesbrough U21

Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Sub
Milnes B. In: Kurtaran T.
Out: Milnes B.
1'
Sub
Fairlamb L. In: Lyttle T.
Out: Fairlamb L.
45' Event
Calder R.
Assist: Tshikuna N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tamworth
15%
Draws
57%
Middlesbrough U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Middlesbrough U21 haven't matched Tamworth's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tamworth a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Tamworth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Middlesbrough U21, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 16%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamworth Middlesbrough U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.93 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Middlesbrough U21
1:3
Jan 28, 2025 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Middlesbrough U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamworth Compare

Top Goalscorer Calder R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Middlesbrough U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibeh C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carbon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamworth 66 / 100
Middlesbrough U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamworth Middlesbrough U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamworth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tamworth scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Middlesbrough U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Middlesbrough U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tamworth VS Middlesbrough U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)
03 Nov
Tamworth
2 : 3
Everton U21
31 Oct
Tamworth
0 : 1
Woking
27 Oct
Tamworth
4 : 1
Scunthorpe
17 Oct
Carlisle
2 : 1
Tamworth
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U21

(Away)
03 Nov
Middlesbrough U21
3 : 2
Valencia B
25 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 2
Tottenham U21
20 Oct
Boreham Wood
7 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
16 Oct
Everton U21
2 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
30 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 0
Juventus U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 4 3 0 1 16:8 9
2 Scunthorpe 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 10:5 8
4 Wolves U21 4 3 0 1 5:6 7
5 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 5:5 5
6 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 6:7 5
7 Derby U21 4 1 0 3 9:11 5
8 Stoke City U21 4 0 0 4 3:17 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Ipswich U21 4 3 0 1 8:5 8
3 Hornchurch 4 2 0 2 7:3 7
4 Braintree 4 2 0 2 8:7 7
5 Norwich U21 4 2 0 2 6:9 5
6 Worthing FC 4 1 0 3 4:5 4
7 Fulham U21 4 2 0 2 5:7 4
8 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:13 4
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 3 0 1 15:5 10
2 Middlesbrough U21 4 3 0 1 17:9 9
3 Everton U21 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Tamworth 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
5 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
8 Hartlepool 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Woking 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Sutton 4 3 0 1 4:3 8
4 West Brom U21 4 2 0 2 3:4 5
5 Birmingham U21 4 2 0 2 5:9 5
6 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 8:11 4
7 Boston United 4 1 0 3 8:10 3
8 Leicester U21 4 0 0 4 3:7 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)