Sport Picks

Tamworth vs Rochdale Prediction & H2H Stats

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026 The Lamb Ground, Tamworth

Tamworth

Tue, Jan 13, 2026

2 - 1

07:45 PM

Rochdale

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Smith T.

72'

Acquaye B.

Barlow A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tamworth in this FA Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Tamworth

15%

Draws

46%

Rochdale

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochdale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Tamworth at 1.86 per game, Rochdale at 1.68.
Win probability leans Rochdale's way, sitting at 40%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Rochdale, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%

Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%

Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tamworth	Rochdale
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	12	12
Draws	6	6
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.86	1.68
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 National League

Rochdale vs Tamworth

3:2

Jan 13, 2026 FA Trophy

Tamworth vs Rochdale

2:1

Nov 22, 2025 National League

Tamworth vs Rochdale

1:2

Feb 25, 2025 National League

Tamworth vs Rochdale

1:1

Dec 17, 2024 National League

Rochdale vs Tamworth

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamworth Compare

Top Goalscorer Acquaye B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Rochdale Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.87

Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamworth 26 / 100

Rochdale 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tamworth Rochdale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rochdale Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tamworth scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Rochdale has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Tamworth went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamworth VS Rochdale

1.63 Goals Scored 1.38

2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 63%

100% Over 2.5 50%

88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)

30 Sept

Tamworth

2 : 0

Sutton

26 Sept

Aldershot

5 : 1

Tamworth

19 Sept

Tamworth

2 : 1

Wealdstone

15 Sept

Southend

3 : 1

Tamworth

12 Sept

Harrogate

3 : 1

Tamworth

Page 1 of 6

Rochdale

(Away)

26 Sept

Fleetwood Town

1 : 2

Rochdale

22 Sept

Rochdale

3 : 4

Liverpool U21

19 Sept

Rochdale

2 : 0

Oldham

12 Sept

Walsall

0 : 0

Rochdale

05 Sept

Rochdale

1 : 4

Gillingham

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sudbury 2

Leiston 1

TBD -

Hereford -

Radcliffe -

TBD -

Bradford PA 2

Morpeth 1

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aldershot -

Buxton -

TBD -

Southport -

Leek Town 3

Bromsgrove 0

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Basingstoke 1

Dorchester 2

Brentwood 3

Welling 0

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Chesham -

TBD -

Telford -

TBD -

Altrincham -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Torquay -

TBD -

Maidstone -

Alvechurch 1

Worcester 0

Real Bedford 3

Ashford United 2

Redditch 1

Gainsborough 2

Alfreton -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Oxford City -

TBD -

Peterborough Sports -

Chester -

TBD -

Clitheroe 4

Stockton 2

TBD -

York City -

Leatherhead 2

Canvey Island 1

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Stanway Rovers 1

Harrow Borough 2

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Horsham FC -

TBD -

Farnham 3

Bishops Cleeve 2

Wimborne 1

Portchester 0

Waltham Abbey 0

Chatham 2

Plymouth Parkway 2

Poole Town 1

TBD -

Salisbury -

Harborough 4

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

TBD -

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Carlisle -

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough -

Bath City -

TBD -

Bracknell Town 1

Banbury 0

Southend -

TBD -

Truro -

Halifax -

TBD -

United of Manchester 1

Bamber Bridge 0

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Bedford -

TBD -

Anstey Nomads 4

Stratford 0

Chorley -

TBD -

Worksop -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Spalding United 0

Corby 1

Gateshead -

TBD -

Morecambe -

Ebbsfleet -

TBD -

Sittingbourne 2

Cray Valley 1

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Billericay 0

Stortford 5

Wingate & Finchley 0

Cheshunt 1

Dagenham & Red. -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Hadley 0

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

St. Albans 0

Hanwell Town 2

Tamworth -

TBD -

Boston United -

Leamington -

TBD -

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Ilkeston 3

St Ives Town 1

TBD -

Curzon Ashton -

Marine -

TBD -

Hyde 0

Stocksbridge 3

Slough Town -

TBD -

Gloucester City 1

Havant & Waterlooville 0

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Walton & Hersham 5

Hendon 1

TBD -

Farnborough -

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Brackley -

Woking -

TBD -

Burgess Hill 1

Folkestone 4

TBD -

AFC Totton -

South Shields -

TBD -

Dunston 1

Hebburn Town 0

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Prescot Cables 2

Guiseley 1

1/64-finals

Sudbury 1

Hereford 5

Radcliffe 3

Bradford PA 2

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Spennymoor 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aldershot -

Buxton 2

Southport 3

Leek Town 1

Scarborough Athletic 0

Dover Ath. 2

Dorchester 0

Brentwood 0

Hornchurch 1

Chesham 1

Telford 2

TBD -

Altrincham -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Torquay 0

Maidstone 2

Alvechurch 2

Real Bedford 1

Gainsborough 1

Alfreton 2

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Oxford City 1

Peterborough Sports 2

Chester 0

Clitheroe 1

TBD -

York City -

Leatherhead 2

Hampton & Richmond 0

King’s Lynn 2

Harrow Borough 3

Hemel Hempstead 1

Chelmsford 0

Horsham FC 2

Farnham 0

Wimborne 0

Chatham 1

Plymouth Parkway 4

Salisbury 3

Harborough 3

Enfield Town 0

TBD -

Carlisle -

Dorking Wanderers 3

Eastbourne Borough 2

Bath City 2

Bracknell Town 1

Southend -

TBD -

Truro -

Halifax -

TBD -

United of Manchester 3

Darlington FC 2

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Bedford 0

Anstey Nomads 1

Chorley 2

Worksop 3

Kidderminster 3

Corby 0

Gateshead -

TBD -

Morecambe -

Ebbsfleet 2

Sittingbourne 1

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chippenham Town 0

Weston-super-Mare 1

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Stortford 1

Cheshunt 2

Dagenham & Red. 2

Tilbury 0

Merthyr Town 2

Hanwell Town 3

Tamworth -

TBD -

Boston United -

Leamington 2

Maidenhead 0

TBD -

Rochdale -

Ilkeston 0

Curzon Ashton 1

Marine 2

Stocksbridge 0

Slough Town 1

Gloucester City 2

Tonbridge 0

Worthing FC 4

Walton & Hersham 2

Farnborough 1

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Brackley -

Woking -

TBD -

Folkestone 1

AFC Totton 2

South Shields 6

Dunston 2

Macclesfield 1

Prescot Cables 0

1/32-finals

Hereford 2

Radcliffe 1

Solihull Moors 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh 2

Aldershot 1

Southport 3

Leek Town 1

Dover Ath. 1

Hornchurch 4

Telford 4

Altrincham 3

Yeovil 2

Maidstone 1

Alvechurch 3

Alfreton 2

Scunthorpe 5

Peterborough Sports 0

Clitheroe 2

York City 1

Leatherhead 3

Harrow Borough 2

Hemel Hempstead 0

Horsham FC 2

Chatham 3

Plymouth Parkway 0

Harborough 1

Carlisle 2

Dorking Wanderers 1

Bath City 2

Southend 4

Truro 0

Halifax 4

United of Manchester 0

Hartlepool 1

Anstey Nomads 2

Worksop 0

Kidderminster 1

Gateshead 0

Morecambe 3

Ebbsfleet 3

Braintree 1

Forest Green 4

Weston-super-Mare 0

Wealdstone 2

Cheshunt 1

Dagenham & Red. 3

Hanwell Town 1

Tamworth 2

Boston United 1

Leamington 0

Rochdale 1

Curzon Ashton 1

Marine 2

Gloucester City 4

Worthing FC 3

Walton & Hersham 4

Sutton 1

Boreham Wood 3

Brackley 4

Woking 2

AFC Totton 0

South Shields 0

Macclesfield 1

1/16-finals

Hereford 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh 0

Southport 2

Hornchurch 1

Telford 2

Yeovil 1

Alvechurch 0

Scunthorpe 3

Clitheroe 1

Leatherhead 2

Horsham FC 3

Chatham 1

Carlisle 0

Bath City 1

Southend 3

Halifax 4

Anstey Nomads 0

Kidderminster 6

Morecambe 2

Ebbsfleet 0

Forest Green 2

Wealdstone 1

Dagenham & Red. 0

Tamworth 2

Rochdale 1

Marine 2

Gloucester City 1

Walton & Hersham 1

Brackley 0

Woking 2

Macclesfield 1

1/8-finals

AFC Fylde 0

Southport 1

Telford 0

Yeovil 2

Scunthorpe 1

Horsham FC 2

Chatham 0

Southend 1

Halifax 1

Kidderminster 2

Forest Green 0

Wealdstone 3

Tamworth 0

Marine 1

Walton & Hersham 1

Woking 2

Quarter-finals

Southport 2

Yeovil 1

Horsham FC 1

Southend 2

Kidderminster 1

Wealdstone 2

Marine 1

Woking 0

Semi-finals

Southport 1

Southend 3

Wealdstone 1

Marine 0

Final

Southend 1

Wealdstone 0

Tamworth vs Rochdale Prediction & H2H Stats

England

Tamworth

Rochdale

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Tamworth Compare

Rochdale Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

Rochdale

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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