Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tamworth vs Sutton

England England

National League The Lamb Ground, Tamworth
Wed, Sep 30, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tamworth host Sutton in the National League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tamworth have averaged 2 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Sutton's 1.15 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Tamworth have won 2 to Sutton's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.50) point toward Tamworth. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tamworth
20%
Draws
40%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tamworth come out ahead of Sutton on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 16%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamworth Sutton
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National League
Tamworth vs Sutton
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Tamworth
2:3
Jan 7, 2025 FA Trophy
Sutton vs Tamworth
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 National League
Sutton vs Tamworth
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 National League
Tamworth vs Sutton
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamworth 31 / 100
Sutton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamworth Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamworth's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sutton let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Sutton registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamworth VS Sutton
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1
Wealdstone
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1
Tamworth
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1
Tamworth
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2
Boston United
Page 1 of 6

Sutton

(Away)
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
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