Sport Picks
Tamworth vs Worthing FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League The Lamb Ground, Tamworth 
Match Events
32'
32'
Donnelly K.
42'
42'
Fairlamb L.
44'
44'
Wadham J.
Assist: Jenks T.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Tamworth and Worthing FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tamworth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Worthing FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Worthing FC come out ahead of Tamworth on wins alone.
- Model gives Worthing FC a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tamworth | Worthing FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 National League
Tamworth vs Worthing FC
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tamworth Compare
Top Goalscorer Creaney D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Roberts M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Worthing FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Wadham J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marquez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tamworth 14 / 100
Worthing FC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tamworth Worthing FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Worthing FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tamworth scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Worthing FC let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
Recent resilience: Tamworth stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tamworth VS Worthing FC
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tamworth
(Home) 10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2 Barrow
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0 Leeds U21
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Tamworth
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0 Sutton
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1 Tamworth
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2 Barrow
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0 Leeds U21
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0 Sutton
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 4
Worthing FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Worthing FC
5 : 0 Solihull Moors
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2 Worthing FC
29 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 1 Worthing FC
26 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 1 Halifax
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3 Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2 Worthing FC
29 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 1 Worthing FC
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3 Worthing FC
05 Sept
AFC Fylde
2 : 2 Worthing FC
28 Aug
Tamworth
3 : 2 Worthing FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34:13 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31:19 | 27 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27:18 | 24 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20:19 | 24 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | 23 |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 21 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 15:19 | 21 |
| 10 | Halifax | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Kidderminster | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 12 | Aldershot | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 18 |
| 13 | Sutton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23:20 | 17 |
| 15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:22 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:30 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 21 | Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:23 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13:35 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8:31 | 4 |
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