Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista U20 2025

Desportivo U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tanabi U20 play Desportivo U20 in the Paulista U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tanabi U20 averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Desportivo U20 averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Tanabi U20 won 0, Desportivo U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Tanabi U20 and 1.44 for Desportivo U20. This points to a Desportivo U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Tanabi U20

24%

Draws

41%

Desportivo U20

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Desportivo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Tanabi U20 picked up more points recently compared to Desportivo U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Tanabi U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Desportivo U20 Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tanabi U20	Desportivo U20
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	11
Draws	7	6
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	1.14	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.86	1.52
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2025 Paulista U20

Tanabi U20 vs Desportivo U20

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanabi U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Santos

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Desportivo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan Rizardi

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanabi U20 35 / 100

Desportivo U20 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tanabi U20 Desportivo U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Desportivo U20 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tanabi U20 attacking → ← attacking Desportivo U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanabi U20 scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Desportivo U20 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tanabi U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Desportivo U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 39

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	15	12	1	2	61:11	37
2	Bragantino U20	15	11	2	2	36:11	35
3	Sao Paulo U20	15	11	2	2	36:13	35
4	Guarani U20	15	11	1	3	28:13	34
5	EC Sao Bernardo U20	15	11	0	4	33:13	33
6	Novorizontino U20	15	10	3	2	36:16	33
7	Portuguesa U20	15	9	4	2	33:15	31
8	Ituano U20	15	9	3	3	37:12	30
9	Ibrachina U20	15	9	3	3	31:15	30
10	Ferroviaria U20	15	9	2	4	29:18	29
11	Santos U20	15	9	2	4	29:19	29
12	CA Juventus U20	15	9	2	4	15:10	29
13	Corinthians U20	15	9	2	4	29:25	29
14	Uniao Suzano U20	15	9	2	4	23:19	29
15	Ponte Preta U20	15	9	1	5	33:19	28
16	Santo Andre U20	15	8	1	6	26:26	25
17	Osasco Sporting U20	15	7	4	4	22:17	25
18	Capivariano U20	15	7	3	5	23:15	24
19	XV de Jau U20	15	7	1	7	26:23	22
20	Piracicaba U20	15	7	1	7	19:18	22
21	Gremio Prudente U20	15	6	4	5	21:15	22
22	Portuguesa Santista U20	15	6	4	5	19:21	22
23	Mirassol U20	15	6	3	6	21:13	21
24	Osasco Audax U20	15	6	3	6	27:25	21
25	Sao Caetano U20	15	6	3	6	20:23	21
26	Referencia U20	15	5	6	4	25:26	21
27	Botafogo SP U20	15	6	2	7	25:21	20
28	Internacional de Limeira U20	15	6	2	7	20:19	20
29	Desportivo U20	15	5	3	7	22:25	18
30	Maua FC U20	15	5	3	7	13:17	18
31	Bandeirante U20	15	5	3	7	18:25	18
32	Itapirense U20	15	5	3	7	18:26	18
33	Sertaozinho U20	15	5	2	8	14:17	17
34	Tanabi U20	15	4	4	7	19:24	16
35	Agua Santa U20	15	4	4	7	20:28	16
36	Velo Clube U20	15	4	4	7	16:26	16
37	Sao Bento U20	15	4	3	8	17:29	15
38	Aguai U20	15	4	3	8	12:25	15
39	Jabaquara U20	15	4	3	8	16:30	15
40	Sfera U20	15	4	2	9	15:23	14
41	Flamengo SP U20	15	4	2	9	15:32	14
42	AC Guaratingueta U20	15	3	2	10	12:35	11
43	Uniao Sao Joao U20	15	3	1	11	13:33	10
44	Comercial FC - Tiete U20	15	3	0	12	20:36	9
45	Taubate U20	15	2	2	11	10:33	8
46	Sao Jose EC U20	15	1	3	11	14:40	6
47	Aracatuba FC U20	15	1	3	11	14:48	6
48	Rio Claro U20	15	1	1	13	8:46	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EC Sao Bernardo U20	15	11	0	4	33:13	33
2	Novorizontino U20	15	10	3	2	36:16	33
3	Ferroviaria U20	15	9	2	4	29:18	29
4	Santos U20	15	9	2	4	29:19	29
5	CA Juventus U20	15	9	2	4	15:10	29
6	Ponte Preta U20	15	9	1	5	33:19	28
7	Mirassol U20	15	6	3	6	21:13	21
8	Osasco Audax U20	15	6	3	6	27:25	21
9	Sao Caetano U20	15	6	3	6	20:23	21
10	Internacional de Limeira U20	15	6	2	7	20:19	20
11	Itapirense U20	15	5	3	7	18:26	18
12	Velo Clube U20	15	4	4	7	16:26	16
13	Aguai U20	15	4	3	8	12:25	15
14	Sfera U20	15	4	2	9	15:23	14
15	Taubate U20	15	2	2	11	10:33	8
16	Sao Jose EC U20	15	1	3	11	14:40	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	15	12	1	2	61:11	37
2	Bragantino U20	15	11	2	2	36:11	35
3	Portuguesa U20	15	9	4	2	33:15	31
4	Ituano U20	15	9	3	3	37:12	30
5	Corinthians U20	15	9	2	4	29:25	29
6	Uniao Suzano U20	15	9	2	4	23:19	29
7	Santo Andre U20	15	8	1	6	26:26	25
8	Referencia U20	15	5	6	4	25:26	21
9	Botafogo SP U20	15	6	2	7	25:21	20
10	Sertaozinho U20	15	5	2	8	14:17	17
11	Agua Santa U20	15	4	4	7	20:28	16
12	Sao Bento U20	15	4	3	8	17:29	15
13	Jabaquara U20	15	4	3	8	16:30	15
14	Uniao Sao Joao U20	15	3	1	11	13:33	10
15	Aracatuba FC U20	15	1	3	11	14:48	6
16	Rio Claro U20	15	1	1	13	8:46	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo U20	15	11	2	2	36:13	35
2	Guarani U20	15	11	1	3	28:13	34
3	Ibrachina U20	15	9	3	3	31:15	30
4	Osasco Sporting U20	15	7	4	4	22:17	25
5	Capivariano U20	15	7	3	5	23:15	24
6	XV de Jau U20	15	7	1	7	26:23	22
7	Piracicaba U20	15	7	1	7	19:18	22
8	Gremio Prudente U20	15	6	4	5	21:15	22
9	Portuguesa Santista U20	15	6	4	5	19:21	22
10	Desportivo U20	15	5	3	7	22:25	18
11	Maua FC U20	15	5	3	7	13:17	18
12	Bandeirante U20	15	5	3	7	18:25	18
13	Tanabi U20	15	4	4	7	19:24	16
14	Flamengo SP U20	15	4	2	9	15:32	14
15	AC Guaratingueta U20	15	3	2	10	12:35	11
16	Comercial FC - Tiete U20	15	3	0	12	20:36	9