Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tanabi vs Mauaense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tanabi in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tanabi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tanabi
30%
Draws
47%
Mauaense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mauaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tanabi have won more games recently than Mauaense.
  • Tanabi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Tanabi Clean Sheet 20%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanabi Mauaense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 12
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Paulista B
Tanabi vs Mauaense
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Paulista B
Mauaense vs Tanabi
0:0
Jul 15, 2023 Paulista A4
Tanabi vs Mauaense
1:0
Jul 8, 2023 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Tanabi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanabi 42 / 100
Mauaense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanabi Mauaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanabi found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Mauaense conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: Mauaense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 0.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tanabi VS Mauaense
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanabi

(Home)
04 Apr
Comercial
2 : 1
Tanabi
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
21 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
0 : 0
Tanabi
18 Mar
Tanabi
1 : 2
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Mauaense

(Away)
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1
Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1
Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penapolense 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
2 Francana 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
3 Jacarei FC 6 1 4 1 4:4 7
4 Amparo SP 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vocem 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
2 Taquaritinga 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Maua FC 6 1 3 2 9:6 6
4 Manthiqueira 6 1 0 5 2:13 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 Uniao Barbarense 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
3 Tanabi 6 1 2 3 3:8 5
4 Mauaense 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SKA Brasil 6 4 2 0 21:1 14
2 Catanduva FC 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Independente SP 6 3 0 3 6:9 9
4 Guarulhos 6 0 0 6 1:24 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 America SP 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 Nacional SP 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Flamengo SP 6 0 1 5 1:10 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao-Carlense 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
2 Rio Branco SP 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
3 Jabaquara 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
4 Fernandopolis 6 1 0 5 3:15 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams