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Stadium Background

Tanabi vs Mauaense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tanabi in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tanabi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tanabi
20%
Draws
38%
Mauaense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tanabi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Tanabi have won more games recently than Mauaense.
  • Tanabi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Tanabi Clean Sheet 20%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanabi Mauaense
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 16 8
Draws 9 14
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Paulista B
Tanabi vs Mauaense
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Paulista B
Mauaense vs Tanabi
0:0
Jul 15, 2023 Paulista A4
Tanabi vs Mauaense
1:0
Jul 8, 2023 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Tanabi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanabi 42 / 100
Mauaense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanabi Mauaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanabi found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Mauaense conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Away concern: Mauaense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 0.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tanabi VS Mauaense
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanabi

(Home)
04 Apr
Comercial
2 : 1
Tanabi
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
21 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
0 : 0
Tanabi
18 Mar
Tanabi
1 : 2
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 7

Mauaense

(Away)
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1
Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1
Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penapolense63215:211
2Francana622211:108
3Jacarei FC61414:47
4Amparo SP62046:106
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vocem63306:312
2Taquaritinga632110:511
3Maua FC61329:66
4Manthiqueira61052:133
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1XV de Jau651011:116
2Uniao Barbarense62135:87
3Tanabi61233:85
4Mauaense61234:65
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SKA Brasil642021:114
2Catanduva FC63219:311
3Independente SP63036:99
4Guarulhos60061:240
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Sao Joao64117:313
2America SP63127:410
3Nacional SP63127:510
4Flamengo SP60151:101
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao-Carlense63309:212
2Rio Branco SP623110:79
3Jabaquara62228:68
4Fernandopolis61053:153
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams