Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tanzania Prisons vs Fountain Gate

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mpole G.
38'
Ramadhan D.
46'
Sub
Ramadhan D. In: Mutinda M.
Out: Ramadhan D.

AI Match Summary

Tanzania Prisons in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tanzania Prisons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tanzania Prisons
20%
Draws
38%
Fountain Gate
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tanzania Prisons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Fountain Gate have won more games recently than Tanzania Prisons.
  • Tanzania Prisons are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 68%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania Prisons Fountain Gate
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Fountain Gate
1:0
Nov 26, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0
Jun 30, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Fountain Gate
3:1
Jun 26, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Tanzania Prisons
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Top Goalscorer Mpole G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fountain Gate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania Prisons 51 / 100
Fountain Gate 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania Prisons Fountain Gate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fountain Gate let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Tanzania Prisons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Fountain Gate registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania Prisons VS Fountain Gate
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30236171:975
2Simba30227154:1173
3Azam301810246:1264
4Singida Black Stars301551047:3550
5TRA United301110933:2843
6JKT Tanzania301012830:3342
7Pamba30991232:3536
8Coastal Union30991231:3736
9Dodoma Jiji308111125:3635
10Namungo307131025:3234
11Mashujaa307121115:2733
12Fountain Gate30961525:4433
13Tanzania Prisons30951623:4132
14Mbeya City30791424:4130
15Mtibwa Sugar30691525:4827
16Kinondoni MC30232516:539