Sport Picks
Tanzania Prisons vs Mashujaa
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 
Match Events
56'
56'
Sub
Mpole G. In: Mbangula S.
Out: Mpole G.
58'
58'
Madeleke S.
72'
72'
Sub
Uromi D. In: Mhagama C.
Out: Uromi D.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Tanzania Prisons and Mashujaa finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tanzania Prisons
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Tanzania Prisons's 0.7 goals per match outpaces what Mashujaa have produced (0.57).
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 25%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tanzania Prisons | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Tanzania Prisons
0:1
Feb 6, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mashujaa
0:0
Feb 6, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mashujaa
2:1
Aug 23, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Tanzania Prisons
0:0
May 20, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mashujaa
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tanzania Prisons 37 / 100
Mashujaa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tanzania Prisons Mashujaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mashujaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mashujaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Tanzania Prisons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Mashujaa lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Tanzania Prisons found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Tanzania Prisons VS Mashujaa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tanzania Prisons
(Home) 16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
14 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
14 May
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 4
Mashujaa
(Away) 09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
