Sport Picks
Tanzania Prisons vs Mtibwa Sugar
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Tanzania Prisons play Mtibwa Sugar in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tanzania Prisons averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Mtibwa Sugar averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. In past meetings, Tanzania Prisons won 2, Mtibwa Sugar won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Tanzania Prisons and 1.38 for Mtibwa Sugar. This points to a Tanzania Prisons double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tanzania Prisons has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mtibwa Sugar.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tanzania Prisons.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligi Kuu Bara provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tanzania Prisons | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tanzania Prisons Compare
Mtibwa Sugar Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tanzania Prisons scored in 45% of their last 29 games.
Mtibwa Sugar let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Tanzania Prisons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Mtibwa Sugar lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |