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Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tanzania Prisons play Polisi Tanzania in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tanzania Prisons averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Polisi Tanzania averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.25 conceded. In past meetings, Tanzania Prisons won 2, Polisi Tanzania won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 12, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.38 for Tanzania Prisons and 1.94 for Polisi Tanzania. This points to a Polisi Tanzania double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tanzania Prisons
6%
Draws
4%
Polisi Tanzania
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tanzania Prisons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Polisi Tanzania demonstrates higher offensive output (1.75 avg goals) than Tanzania Prisons (0.5 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tanzania Prisons.
  • Cup tournament structure in Ligi Kuu Bara increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 10%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania Prisons Polisi Tanzania
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Tanzania Prisons
4:0
Feb 19, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0
Oct 25, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania
2:0
May 1, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania
1:0
Dec 4, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania Prisons 83 / 100
Polisi Tanzania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania Prisons Polisi Tanzania

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanzania Prisons scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Polisi Tanzania let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Tanzania Prisons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Polisi Tanzania lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania Prisons VS Polisi Tanzania
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tanzania Prisons0
Mbeya City2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Polisi Tanzania7
Mbeya Kwanza1
Final
Mbeya City-
TBD-
Tanzania Prisons-
Polisi Tanzania-