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Tanzania U20 vs Kenya U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Wanganya K.
66' Event
Omondi A.
Assist: Beja H.
77' Event
Shomari R.

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship U20 2024 game between Tanzania U20 and Kenya U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kenya U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tanzania U20
20%
Draws
80%
Kenya U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kenya U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tanzania U20 come out ahead of Kenya U20 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tanzania U20 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tanzania U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania U20 Kenya U20
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Tanzania U20 vs Kenya U20
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Tanzania U20 vs Kenya U20
1:2
Sep 24, 2019 Friendly International
Tanzania U20 vs Kenya U20
2:2
Apr 27, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Tanzania U20 vs Kenya U20
1:0
Apr 6, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Kenya U20 vs Tanzania U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shomari R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Kenya U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wanganya K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omondi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania U20 35 / 100
Kenya U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania U20 Kenya U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanzania U20 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Kenya U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Kenya U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania U20 VS Kenya U20
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania U20

(Home)
09 May
Tanzania U20
0 : 1
Egypt U20
06 May
Zambia U20
1 : 0
Tanzania U20
03 May
Tanzania U20
0 : 1
Sierra Leone U20
30 Apr
South Africa U20
1 : 0
Tanzania U20
09 Nov
Egypt U20
3 : 0
Tanzania U20
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Kenya U20

(Away)
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
24 Apr
Ghana U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
20 Oct
Tanzania U20
2 : 1
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya U20 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 Tanzania U20 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
3 Sudan U20 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
4 Rwanda U20 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Djibouti U20 4 0 0 4 2:19 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
2 Burundi U20 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
3 South Sudan U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Ethiopia U20 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)