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Tanzania vs Senegal

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mbodj M.
53' Event
Suleiman A.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Hamad I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Tanzania and Senegal finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tanzania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tanzania
30%
Draws
31%
Senegal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Tanzania haven't matched Senegal's recent run of results.
  • Tanzania are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Senegal have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tanzania Clean Sheet 20%
Senegal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania Senegal
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 1.22
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Friendly International
Tanzania vs Senegal
2:1
Jun 23, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Senegal vs Tanzania
2:0
Feb 22, 2009 African Nations Championship
Senegal vs Tanzania
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamad I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.54

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbodj M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania 58 / 100
Senegal 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania Senegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Tanzania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Senegal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tanzania found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (26 games).

Scoring Trends

Tanzania VS Senegal
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
0.57 Goals Conceded 1
43% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Tanzania
0 : 1
Liechtenstein
04 Jan
Morocco
1 : 0
Tanzania
30 Dec
Tanzania
1 : 1
Tunisia
27 Dec
Uganda
1 : 1
Tanzania
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Senegal

(Away)
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
16 Jun
France
3 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
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