Sport Picks

Africa

CECAFA Championship Women 2016

Ethiopia W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tanzania W play Ethiopia W in the CECAFA Championship Women 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tanzania W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Ethiopia W averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Tanzania W won 3, Ethiopia W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 28, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Tanzania W and 0.94 for Ethiopia W. This points to a Tanzania W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Tanzania W

19%

Draws

37%

Ethiopia W

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Tanzania W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Tanzania W picked up more points recently compared to Ethiopia W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Tanzania W Clean Sheet 24%

Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tanzania W	Ethiopia W
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	16	13
Draws	7	5
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.67	2.6
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women

Ethiopia W vs Tanzania W

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Oct 22, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women

Tanzania W vs Ethiopia W

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Jun 11, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women

Ethiopia W vs Tanzania W

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Jun 4, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women

Ethiopia W vs Tanzania W

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 0 - 4

2:2

Jul 27, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women

Ethiopia W vs Tanzania W

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania W 44 / 100

Ethiopia W 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tanzania W Ethiopia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tanzania W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tanzania W attacking → ← attacking Ethiopia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanzania W scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Ethiopia W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tanzania W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ethiopia W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 44

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kenya W	3	3	0	19:0	9
2	Uganda W	3	2	1	10:4	6
3	Burundi W	3	1	2	10:6	3
4	Zanzibar W	3	0	3	1:30	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tanzania W	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
2	Ethiopia W	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	Rwanda W	2	0	0	2	4:6	0