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Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Akademiya Ontustik

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Taraz-Karatau 2 play Akademiya Ontustik in the First Division 2022. Akademiya Ontustik are favorites here. Recently, Taraz-Karatau 2 averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Akademiya Ontustik averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. In past meetings, Taraz-Karatau 2 won 3, Akademiya Ontustik won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 3, 2022 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Taraz-Karatau 2 and 1.00 for Akademiya Ontustik. This points to a Akademiya Ontustik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Taraz-Karatau 2
25%
Draws
60%
Akademiya Ontustik
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Taraz-Karatau 2 picked up more points recently compared to Akademiya Ontustik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Taraz-Karatau 2 Clean Sheet 23%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz-Karatau 2 Akademiya Ontustik
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.6 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.82

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2022 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Akademiya Ontustik
4:0
May 22, 2022 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Taraz-Karatau 2
0:3
Aug 22, 2021 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Akademiya Ontustik
3:0
May 5, 2021 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Taraz-Karatau 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz-Karatau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhumat M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khaytmuratov U.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Akademiya Ontustik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz-Karatau 2 18 / 100
Akademiya Ontustik 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz-Karatau 2 Akademiya Ontustik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akademiya Ontustik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Akademiya Ontustik & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Taraz-Karatau 2 attacking → ← attacking Akademiya Ontustik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taraz-Karatau 2 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Akademiya Ontustik let in goals in 78% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Taraz-Karatau 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Akademiya Ontustik lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 56
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717