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Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Igilik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Kanapiev D.
27'
Kanapiev D.
75' Event
Zhumat D.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Taraz-Karatau 2 and Igilik finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taraz-Karatau 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Taraz-Karatau 2
15%
Draws
42%
Igilik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taraz-Karatau 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Taraz-Karatau 2 come out ahead of Igilik on wins alone.
  • Model gives Taraz-Karatau 2 a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Taraz-Karatau 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Taraz-Karatau 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Igilik Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz-Karatau 2 Igilik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.6 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2022 First League
Igilik vs Taraz-Karatau 2
0:7
Jul 23, 2022 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Igilik
1:0
Jul 19, 2021 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Igilik
3:0
Apr 26, 2021 First League
Igilik vs Taraz-Karatau 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz-Karatau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhumat D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Igilik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz-Karatau 2 58 / 100
Igilik 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz-Karatau 2 Igilik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz-Karatau 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Igilik let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Taraz-Karatau 2's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Igilik registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taraz-Karatau 2 VS Igilik
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Taraz-Karatau 2

(Home)
05 Nov
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 0
Taraz-Karatau 2
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
22 Oct
Taraz-Karatau 2
2 : 4
FK Kyran
16 Oct
Okzhetpes
6 : 1
Taraz-Karatau 2
09 Oct
Taraz-Karatau 2
1 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

Igilik

(Away)
05 Nov
Igilik
4 : 5
Turkistan
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
21 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 4
Igilik
16 Oct
Igilik
2 : 1
FK Kyran
09 Oct
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Igilik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)