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Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Shymkent Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2012 game between Taraz-Karatau 2 and Shymkent finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Taraz-Karatau 2
15%
Draws
28%
Shymkent
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taraz-Karatau 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Taraz-Karatau 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Taraz-Karatau 2 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Taraz-Karatau 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Shymkent Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz-Karatau 2 Shymkent
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 8 6
Losses 22 22
Goals Scored 1.34 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2013 First League
Shymkent vs Taraz-Karatau 2
0:2
May 9, 2013 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Shymkent
1:1
Sep 22, 2012 First League
Shymkent vs Taraz-Karatau 2
1:2
Jul 13, 2012 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Shymkent
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz-Karatau 2 85 / 100
Shymkent 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz-Karatau 2 Shymkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz-Karatau 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shymkent conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Taraz-Karatau 2 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (41 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Difficult form: Shymkent registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taraz-Karatau 2 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Taraz-Karatau 2

(Home)
05 Nov
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 0
Taraz-Karatau 2
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
22 Oct
Taraz-Karatau 2
2 : 4
FK Kyran
16 Oct
Okzhetpes
6 : 1
Taraz-Karatau 2
09 Oct
Taraz-Karatau 2
1 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 9

Shymkent

(Away)
26 Oct
Kyzylzhar
6 : 1
Shymkent
23 Oct
Okzhetpes
6 : 0
Shymkent
16 Oct
Shymkent
0 : 1
Zhenis
13 Oct
Shymkent
1 : 3
Gefest Karagandy
01 Oct
CSKA Almaty
1 : 2
Shymkent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ile-Saulet 30 17 10 3 52:20 61
2 Vostok Oskemen 30 16 9 5 40:21 57
3 Zhenis 30 16 9 5 38:17 57
4 Bayterek Astana 30 14 11 5 39:19 53
5 FK Kyran 30 14 6 10 51:38 48
6 Spartak Semey 30 14 4 12 38:45 46
7 Shakhtar Bulat 30 12 10 8 30:23 46
8 Kaspij Aktau 30 12 7 11 39:31 43
9 Ak Bulak 30 11 8 11 34:29 41
10 Taraz-Karatau 2 30 11 8 11 33:28 41
11 Kyzylzhar 30 11 7 12 36:43 40
12 FC Ekibastuz 30 11 4 15 45:43 37
13 Kairat Almaty 2 30 9 9 12 37:41 36
14 Aktobe Zhas 30 8 2 20 31:62 26
15 CSKA Almaty 30 4 6 20 18:55 18
16 Shymkent 30 3 4 23 20:66 13
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Main)