Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Taraz vs Arys

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Mansurov B.
61' Event
Lesbek D.
Assist: Baytana B.
71' Event
Usipkhanov R.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Taraz and Arys finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taraz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Taraz
40%
Draws
29%
Arys
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Arys haven't matched Taraz's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Taraz have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Taraz Clean Sheet 16%
Arys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz Arys
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 First League
Taraz vs Arys
2:1
Aug 8, 2024 First League
Taraz vs Arys
3:0
May 31, 2024 First League
Arys vs Taraz
1:2
Sep 22, 2023 First League
Taraz vs Arys
2:1
Jun 2, 2023 First League
Arys vs Taraz
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesbek D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toybekov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Arys Compare

Top Goalscorer Usipkhanov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz 31 / 100
Arys 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz Arys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Taraz's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Arys's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Taraz VS Arys
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 214122050:738
2Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21472525:2223
5Akademiya Ontustik1472522:1923
6Jaiyq1461711:1819
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21443716:2815
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21414923:417