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Stadium Background

Taraz vs FC Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Torekul E.
Assist: Kalybayev D.
78' Event
Demin I.
Own Goal
90' Event
Torekul E.
Assist: Torebek T.

AI Match Summary

Taraz in this First League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taraz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Taraz
17%
Draws
70%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Ekibastuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Taraz lately — more wins on the board than FC Ekibastuz.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on FC Ekibastuz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Taraz Clean Sheet 13%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 First League
Taraz vs FC Ekibastuz
3:0
Sep 12, 2025 First League
Taraz vs FC Ekibastuz
1:0
Jun 12, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Taraz
4:1
Sep 20, 2024 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Taraz
1:1
May 22, 2024 First League
Taraz vs FC Ekibastuz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Torekul E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz 14 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz FC Ekibastuz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Ekibastuz conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Taraz's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FC Ekibastuz registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taraz VS FC Ekibastuz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 213112044:735
2Shakhter Karagandy13111136:534
3Turan1381425:1125
4FC Astana 21362524:2220
5Akademiya Ontustik1362519:1720
6Jaiyq1361611:1719
7Khan Tengri1352618:2517
8FC Ekibastuz1345417:2417
9Taraz1351719:1916
10Aktobe 21344526:3916
11Kaspij Aktau 21343616:2215
12Arys1331915:2810
13Tobol 21314821:387
14Yelimay Semey 21313910:276