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Tarazona vs Universidad de Zaragoza

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2011/2012 game between Tarazona and Universidad de Zaragoza finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarazona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tarazona
39%
Draws
30%
Universidad de Zaragoza
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Universidad de Zaragoza have managed 0 goals a game lately — Tarazona are scoring more at 1.13.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tarazona Clean Sheet 20%
Universidad de Zaragoza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarazona Universidad de Zaragoza
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 12 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Tarazona vs Universidad de Zaragoza
2:1
Sep 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Universidad de Zaragoza vs Tarazona
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarazona 32 / 100
Universidad de Zaragoza 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarazona Universidad de Zaragoza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universidad de Zaragoza let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Tarazona went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tarazona scored in 58% of their last 38 games.

Scoring Trends

Tarazona VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SD Ejea382211576:3777
2Sarinena382210666:2776
3CD Cuarte38219868:4072
4Utebo FC381813757:3367
5Valdefierro381981152:3765
6Sabinanigo381791257:4560
7Atletico Calatayud3815131046:3258
8Villanueva CF381691360:4957
9Binefar3814121245:4154
10UD Barbastro3813121360:6251
11Oliver381491554:5651
12Ebro381481648:5050
13Atletico Monzon3812121443:4948
14Tarazona3812101643:5046
15Robres381291739:5245
16Universidad de Zaragoza381371855:6643
17CD Tauste3810101852:6140
18Giner Torrero38872340:7131
19CD Quinto38792223:6730
20UD San Jose38552834:9320