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Tarbes vs Angouleme CFC

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Zahi A.
78' Event
Makan L.
89' Event
Fournier L.

AI Match Summary

Angouleme CFC in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Angouleme CFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tarbes
35%
Draws
38%
Angouleme CFC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Angouleme CFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Angouleme CFC have won more games recently than Tarbes.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Angouleme CFC taking it.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 20%
Angouleme CFC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarbes Angouleme CFC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Tarbes vs Angouleme CFC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarbes Compare

Top Goalscorer Zahi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Angouleme CFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Makan L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fournier L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarbes 24 / 100
Angouleme CFC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarbes Angouleme CFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angouleme CFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarbes scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Angouleme CFC conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Tarbes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tarbes VS Angouleme CFC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.88
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarbes

(Home)
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
05 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 0
Tarbes
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Tarbes
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Angouleme CFC

(Away)
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
04 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Chauray
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
22 Aug
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Dinan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayonne 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Angouleme CFC 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
3 Dinan 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Stade Briochin 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
5 Granville 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
6 Avranches 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
7 Tarbes 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Saint-Malo 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
10 Lorient II 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
11 St. Colomban Locmine 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Les Herbiers 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
13 Saumur Olympique 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
14 Pontivy 5 0 3 2 5:9 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 5 0 3 2 3:7 3
16 Chauray 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)