Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tarbes vs Chauray - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Abese O.
50' Event
Lecornu J.
57'
Luyinga J.

AI Match Summary

Tarbes in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tarbes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tarbes
15%
Draws
0%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarbes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chauray average 1.14 goals a game right now, well clear of Tarbes's 0.97.
  • Win probability leans Tarbes's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 68%
Chauray Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarbes Chauray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Tarbes vs Chauray
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarbes Compare

Top Goalscorer Lecornu J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Abese O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarbes 86 / 100
Chauray 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarbes Chauray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarbes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Chauray registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Chauray conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tarbes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tarbes VS Chauray
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarbes

(Home)
31 Oct
Tarbes
2 : 1
Chauray
17 Oct
Avranches
2 : 0
Tarbes
03 Oct
Tarbes
0 : 0
Dinan
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
Page 1 of 6

Chauray

(Away)
31 Oct
Tarbes
2 : 1
Chauray
17 Oct
St. Colomban Locmine
3 : 1
Chauray
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)