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Tarbes vs Dinan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National 1 - Group B
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AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Tarbes and Dinan finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Tarbes
35%
Draws
30%
Dinan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dinan come out ahead of Tarbes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tarbes's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 20%
Dinan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarbes Dinan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Tarbes vs Dinan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarbes 42 / 100
Dinan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarbes Dinan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dinan conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Tarbes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tarbes's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tarbes VS Dinan
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarbes

(Home)
31 Oct
Tarbes
2 : 1
Chauray
17 Oct
Avranches
2 : 0
Tarbes
03 Oct
Tarbes
0 : 0
Dinan
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
Page 1 of 6

Dinan

(Away)
31 Oct
Pontivy
2 : 2
Dinan
17 Oct
Dinan
0 : 2
Bayonne
03 Oct
Tarbes
0 : 0
Dinan
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)