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Tarbes vs Frejus Saint Raphael

France France

National 2 - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
28' Event
43' Event

AI Match Summary

Frejus Saint Raphael in this National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tarbes
15%
Draws
46%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frejus Saint Raphael lately — more wins on the board than Tarbes.
  • Frejus Saint Raphael are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 10%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarbes Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 3 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Tarbes vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:3
Nov 4, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Tarbes
3:0
Mar 18, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Tarbes
0:0
Oct 29, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Tarbes vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarbes 18 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarbes Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frejus Saint Raphael let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Tarbes found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Tarbes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tarbes VS Frejus Saint Raphael
0 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarbes

(Home)
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
19 May
Tarbes
0 : 3
Toulon
12 May
Marseille II
1 : 2
Tarbes
28 Apr
Tarbes
1 : 0
RC Grasse
21 Apr
Stade Bordelais
3 : 1
Tarbes
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Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
09 May
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1
Toulon
25 Apr
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 0
Saint Priest
18 Apr
Rumilly Vallieres
1 : 3
Frejus Saint Raphael
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 17 6 7 39:25 57
2 Toulon 30 17 6 7 41:25 57
3 Colomiers 30 14 9 7 43:27 51
4 Bergerac 30 13 10 7 43:28 49
5 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 14 7 9 41:32 49
6 Martigues 30 13 8 9 42:33 47
7 Sete 30 11 13 6 42:25 46
8 Monaco II 30 11 10 9 44:33 43
9 RC Grasse 30 9 12 9 32:31 39
10 Hyeres 30 8 12 10 35:32 36
11 Nice II 30 10 5 15 31:48 35
12 Stade Montois 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Stade Bordelais 30 8 9 13 28:39 31
14 Marseille II 30 6 10 14 31:46 28
15 Tarbes 30 7 5 18 32:60 26
16 Pezenas 30 5 8 17 19:45 21
Promotion - National 2018/2019 (Main)