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Tarbes vs Frejus Saint Raphael

France France

National 2 - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
28' Event
43' Event

AI Match Summary

Frejus Saint Raphael in this National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tarbes
20%
Draws
34%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tarbes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frejus Saint Raphael lately — more wins on the board than Tarbes.
  • Tarbes are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 20%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarbes Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 31 40
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Tarbes vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:3
Nov 4, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Tarbes
3:0
Mar 18, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Tarbes
0:0
Oct 29, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Tarbes vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarbes 36 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarbes Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarbes scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Frejus Saint Raphael conceded in 75% of 40 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Tarbes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tarbes VS Frejus Saint Raphael
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.83 Goals Conceded 2
33% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarbes

(Home)
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
05 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 0
Tarbes
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Tarbes
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Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 17 6 7 39:25 57
2 Toulon 30 17 6 7 41:25 57
3 Colomiers 30 14 9 7 43:27 51
4 Bergerac 30 13 10 7 43:28 49
5 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 14 7 9 41:32 49
6 Martigues 30 13 8 9 42:33 47
7 Sete 30 11 13 6 42:25 46
8 Monaco II 30 11 10 9 44:33 43
9 RC Grasse 30 9 12 9 32:31 39
10 Hyeres 30 8 12 10 35:32 36
11 Nice II 30 10 5 15 31:48 35
12 Stade Montois 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Stade Bordelais 30 8 9 13 28:39 31
14 Marseille II 30 6 10 14 31:46 28
15 Tarbes 30 7 5 18 32:60 26
16 Pezenas 30 5 8 17 19:45 21
Promotion - National 2018/2019 (Main)