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Tarnby FF vs Holbaek

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
45' Event
70' Event

AI Match Summary

Holbaek in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tarnby FF
15%
Draws
45%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holbaek lately — more wins on the board than Tarnby FF.
  • Model gives Tarnby FF a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Tarnby FF Clean Sheet 13%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarnby FF Holbaek
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.54 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Holbaek vs Tarnby FF
3:1
Jan 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Tarnby FF vs Holbaek
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarnby FF 48 / 100
Holbaek 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarnby FF Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarnby FF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarnby FF's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Holbaek conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Tarnby FF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tarnby FF VS Holbaek
4 Goals Scored 2.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarnby FF

(Home)
11 Aug
Frederiksholm
1 : 8
Tarnby FF
14 Feb
Vanlose
3 : 2
Tarnby FF
10 Feb
Holbaek
3 : 1
Tarnby FF
31 Jan
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
0 : 1
Tarnby FF
24 Jan
Bronshoj
2 : 3
Tarnby FF
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Holbaek

(Away)
15 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
Sundby
08 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 2
Holbaek
04 Aug
Holbaek
1 : 2
AB Copenhagen
01 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
BK Frem
18 Jul
Hellerup
1 : 3
Holbaek
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