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Stadium Background

Tarpa vs Fuzesabony Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northeast
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Emanuel L.
64' Event
Akos P.
90' Event
Vincze D.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Northeast game between Tarpa and Fuzesabony finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tarpa
15%
Draws
64%
Fuzesabony
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fuzesabony

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Fuzesabony have managed 0.94 goals a game lately — Tarpa are scoring more at 1.24.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tarpa have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tarpa Clean Sheet 12%
Fuzesabony Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarpa Fuzesabony
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.24 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Tarpa vs Fuzesabony
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Tarpa vs Fuzesabony
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 NB III - Northeast
Fuzesabony vs Tarpa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Emanuel L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akos P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Fuzesabony Compare

Top Goalscorer Vincze D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarpa 35 / 100
Fuzesabony 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarpa Fuzesabony

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fuzesabony Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarpa scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Fuzesabony has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tarpa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tarpa VS Fuzesabony
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarpa

(Home)
03 Oct
Tarpa
1 : 2
Debrecen II
26 Sept
Tarpa
2 : 0
Nyiregyhaza II
19 Sept
Tarpa
1 : 2
Salgotarjani BTC
06 Sept
Tarpa
0 : 1
Tiszafuredi
30 Aug
Cigand SE
3 : 1
Tarpa
Page 1 of 7

Fuzesabony

(Away)
03 Oct
Debreceni EAC
3 : 0
Fuzesabony
26 Sept
Salgotarjani BTC
0 : 1
Fuzesabony
19 Sept
Fuzesabony
1 : 3
DVTK II
06 Sept
Hajdunanas
0 : 1
Fuzesabony
29 Aug
Fuzesabony
3 : 0
Mateszalkai MTK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ozd-Sajovolgye 10 8 0 2 32:8 24
2 Cigand SE 10 7 2 1 24:9 23
3 Debreceni EAC 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
4 Kisvarda FC II 10 4 5 1 15:11 17
5 Debrecen II 10 5 1 4 25:21 16
6 Godollo 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
7 Eger 10 5 1 4 12:21 16
8 DVTK II 10 4 4 2 18:14 16
9 Mateszalkai MTK 10 4 4 2 17:14 16
10 Fuzesabony 10 5 0 5 10:11 15
11 Tiszaujvaros 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Hajdunanas 10 3 1 6 17:27 10
13 Salgotarjani BTC 10 3 0 7 7:15 9
14 Tiszafuredi 10 3 0 7 6:15 9
15 Tarpa 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
16 Nyiregyhaza II 10 1 0 9 10:26 3
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)