Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northeast
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Sarmany K.

AI Match Summary

Tiszafuredi in this NB III - Northeast matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tiszafuredi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tarpa
15%
Draws
85%
Tiszafuredi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tiszafuredi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tiszafuredi have won more games recently than Tarpa.
  • Model gives Tiszafuredi a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tiszafuredi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tarpa Clean Sheet 11%
Tiszafuredi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarpa Tiszafuredi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi
0:0
Aug 27, 2025 NB III - Northeast
Tiszafuredi vs Tarpa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarpa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tiszafuredi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarmany K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarpa 10 / 100
Tiszafuredi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarpa Tiszafuredi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiszafuredi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarpa's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tiszafuredi let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Away concern: Tiszafuredi has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tarpa VS Tiszafuredi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarpa

(Home)
06 Sept
Tarpa
0 : 1
Tiszafuredi
30 Aug
Cigand SE
3 : 1
Tarpa
26 Aug
Tarpa
0 : 3
Tiszaujvaros
22 Aug
Emodi
2 : 1
Tarpa
15 Aug
Ozd-Sajovolgye
4 : 0
Tarpa
Page 1 of 6

Tiszafuredi

(Away)
12 Sept
Haladas VSE
4 : 0
Tiszafuredi
06 Sept
Tarpa
0 : 1
Tiszafuredi
29 Aug
Tiszafuredi
2 : 1
Salgotarjani BTC
26 Aug
Tiszafuredi
0 : 2
Cigand SE
23 Aug
Senyo
0 : 1
Tiszafuredi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ozd-Sajovolgye 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
2 Cigand SE 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
3 Godollo 7 5 0 2 12:7 15
4 Debreceni EAC 7 4 2 1 16:8 14
5 Eger 7 4 1 2 9:12 13
6 Fuzesabony 7 4 0 3 8:5 12
7 Debrecen II 7 3 1 3 18:15 10
8 Kisvarda FC II 7 2 4 1 11:10 10
9 DVTK II 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
10 Tiszaujvaros 7 3 0 4 9:10 9
11 Mateszalkai MTK 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
12 Hajdunanas 7 2 1 4 12:13 7
13 Tiszafuredi 7 2 0 5 3:9 6
14 Salgotarjani BTC 7 1 0 6 4:13 3
15 Nyiregyhaza II 7 1 0 6 9:21 3
16 Tarpa 7 1 0 6 4:18 3
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)