Sport Picks
Tartu JK Welco vs Flora Tallinn U21
Estonia
Esiliiga Holm Jalgpallipark 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Tartu JK Welco host Flora Tallinn U21 in the Esiliiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Tartu JK Welco have averaged 2.75 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Flora Tallinn U21's 2.38 scored and 2.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Tartu JK Welco slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 3:3. xG projections (2.44 - 1.81) back Tartu JK Welco to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tartu JK Welco has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Flora Tallinn U21.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tartu JK Welco.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Esiliiga provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tartu JK Welco | Flora Tallinn U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tartu JK Welco Compare
Flora Tallinn U21 Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tartu JK Welco scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Flora Tallinn U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Tartu JK Welco went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Flora Tallinn U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 62:24 | 45 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 30:16 | 32 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 45:35 | 31 |
| 4 | Elva | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 34:32 | 27 |
| 5 | Levadia U21 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 37:35 | 24 |
| 6 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27:46 | 23 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 37:39 | 22 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd U21 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 35:42 | 20 |
| 9 | Kalju U21 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:44 | 19 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 25:49 | 17 |